COVID19 FORECAST ON INDIA

As on 14th August total Covid19 cases in India is 24,61,542 according to WHO. Total deaths, 48,153 and active cases 6,61,543.

According to Times of India findings, India is projected to hit it's peak of 6.45 lakh active cases on August 21.
(We have crossed it little early) As per most likely scenario and the SEIR model, the peak is projected to be at 6.98 lakh active cases on August 23. The report shows that following India's peak, daily active case counts are projected to decline by mid-October, thereby establishing India's recovery from Covid19.

Kerala is projected to hit it's peak of 4372 active cases according to the most likely model on August 10 and its end is projected as September 18. As per the SEIR model, the state will reach a peak of 4835 active cases on August 20 and it's end is projected as September 18.

KV George
kvgeorgein@gmail.com

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